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#239 Jeff Snider: The 'Recovery' Was Artificial - We Never Left the Last Recession
Manage episode 469612452 series 3510102
Jeff Snider, host of the Eurodollar University podcast, returns to The Julia La Roche Show to discuss the current macroeconomic picture.
Sponsor: This episode is brought to you by Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia
In this episode, Snider explains why we never actually left the 2020 recession - the apparent recovery was an illusion created by Fed rate cuts, election optimism, and front-loaded economic activity. The U.S. economy remains 5 million jobs short of a real recovery, with consumers feeling left behind as their purchasing power eroded. Snider warns of growing risks in China's banking system and argues that continued government intervention is making economic problems worse. He breaks down why the bond market has been signaling weakness since 2022 while stocks remain detached from fundamentals, and explains how the Eurodollar system connects global markets in ways most analysts miss.
Jeff Snider is an expert on the global monetary system, specifically the Eurodollar money system, and all aspects of its misunderstood inner workings and how they impact global markets, commerce, and the economy. His podcast Eurodollar University (https://www.eurodollar.university/) aims to educate the public on the evolution, nature, and nuances of the Eurodollar system and true monetary principles.
Links:
X https://x.com/JeffSnider_EDU
YouTube https://www.youtube.com/@eurodollaruniversity
0:00 Introduction of Jeff Snider
0:54 Big picture macro view and recent market shift
2:14 Analysis of "artificial" economic factors
4:37 Consumer sentiment declining and job market concerns
5:40 Disconnect between economic data and real conditions
7:52 Missing context in economic recovery data
9:30 Housing market distortions and government intervention
11:52 Long-term consequences of pandemic policy
13:13 Discussion of growth scare vs. true recession
15:48 Market behaviors and bond market signals
19:18 Fed policy outlook and rate direction
22:30 Potential economic scenarios ahead
25:33 Challenges for investors in current environment
28:25 Base case economic outlook
31:14 Biggest risk and potential for financial shocks
34:48 Global interconnectedness and reserve currency effects
37:22 Path to positive outcome and economic reset
42:30 Problems with government intervention
45:08 Information about Eurodollar University
47:29 Closing thoughts on economic reality
241 episodes
Manage episode 469612452 series 3510102
Jeff Snider, host of the Eurodollar University podcast, returns to The Julia La Roche Show to discuss the current macroeconomic picture.
Sponsor: This episode is brought to you by Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia
In this episode, Snider explains why we never actually left the 2020 recession - the apparent recovery was an illusion created by Fed rate cuts, election optimism, and front-loaded economic activity. The U.S. economy remains 5 million jobs short of a real recovery, with consumers feeling left behind as their purchasing power eroded. Snider warns of growing risks in China's banking system and argues that continued government intervention is making economic problems worse. He breaks down why the bond market has been signaling weakness since 2022 while stocks remain detached from fundamentals, and explains how the Eurodollar system connects global markets in ways most analysts miss.
Jeff Snider is an expert on the global monetary system, specifically the Eurodollar money system, and all aspects of its misunderstood inner workings and how they impact global markets, commerce, and the economy. His podcast Eurodollar University (https://www.eurodollar.university/) aims to educate the public on the evolution, nature, and nuances of the Eurodollar system and true monetary principles.
Links:
X https://x.com/JeffSnider_EDU
YouTube https://www.youtube.com/@eurodollaruniversity
0:00 Introduction of Jeff Snider
0:54 Big picture macro view and recent market shift
2:14 Analysis of "artificial" economic factors
4:37 Consumer sentiment declining and job market concerns
5:40 Disconnect between economic data and real conditions
7:52 Missing context in economic recovery data
9:30 Housing market distortions and government intervention
11:52 Long-term consequences of pandemic policy
13:13 Discussion of growth scare vs. true recession
15:48 Market behaviors and bond market signals
19:18 Fed policy outlook and rate direction
22:30 Potential economic scenarios ahead
25:33 Challenges for investors in current environment
28:25 Base case economic outlook
31:14 Biggest risk and potential for financial shocks
34:48 Global interconnectedness and reserve currency effects
37:22 Path to positive outcome and economic reset
42:30 Problems with government intervention
45:08 Information about Eurodollar University
47:29 Closing thoughts on economic reality
241 episodes
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