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Labour Is Headed for a Landslide Victory
Manage episode 425639221 series 3366290
Part I: Professor Anthony Pickles (@polgambling), an expert on political gambling, does a deep dive into Keir Starmer and precisely how many seats Labour and the Conservatives are likely to win in UK's upcoming elections. Part II: Vegas bookmaker Alex Chan (@ianlazaran) explains how professional bettors are driving irrational odds in the VP markets.
Part III: Pratik Chougule (@pjchougule) discusses why opponents of election betting have the upper hand in Washington.
Timestamps
0:09: Pratik introduces segment on UK elections
2:01: Pratik introduces segment with Alex Chan on VP odds
3:17: Pratik introduces segment on event contract regulation
5:55: Segment on UK elections begins
6:12: Anthony's background
8:17: Keir Starmer's background
10:16: Starmer's odds of becoming Prime Minister
11:01: How many seats Conservatives and Labour will win
22:04: Why Sunak and the Conservatives are unlikely to make a comeback
28:37: Why Sunak called an early election
30:54: Labour seat totals
34:03: Right-wing bias in the markets?
36:59: Discussion of class politics
39:27: Segment with Chan begins
39:46: VP odds on Tulsi Gabbard and Vivek Ramaswamy
40:48: "Juice" in sportsbooks
41:46: Regulation segment begins
42:56: Incentives in the current CFTC rulemaking
45:00: Need for a counter-lobby on event contracts
Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter: @ssgamblers
Trade on Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market, at Polymarket.com
259 episodes
Manage episode 425639221 series 3366290
Part I: Professor Anthony Pickles (@polgambling), an expert on political gambling, does a deep dive into Keir Starmer and precisely how many seats Labour and the Conservatives are likely to win in UK's upcoming elections. Part II: Vegas bookmaker Alex Chan (@ianlazaran) explains how professional bettors are driving irrational odds in the VP markets.
Part III: Pratik Chougule (@pjchougule) discusses why opponents of election betting have the upper hand in Washington.
Timestamps
0:09: Pratik introduces segment on UK elections
2:01: Pratik introduces segment with Alex Chan on VP odds
3:17: Pratik introduces segment on event contract regulation
5:55: Segment on UK elections begins
6:12: Anthony's background
8:17: Keir Starmer's background
10:16: Starmer's odds of becoming Prime Minister
11:01: How many seats Conservatives and Labour will win
22:04: Why Sunak and the Conservatives are unlikely to make a comeback
28:37: Why Sunak called an early election
30:54: Labour seat totals
34:03: Right-wing bias in the markets?
36:59: Discussion of class politics
39:27: Segment with Chan begins
39:46: VP odds on Tulsi Gabbard and Vivek Ramaswamy
40:48: "Juice" in sportsbooks
41:46: Regulation segment begins
42:56: Incentives in the current CFTC rulemaking
45:00: Need for a counter-lobby on event contracts
Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter: @ssgamblers
Trade on Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market, at Polymarket.com
259 episodes
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