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FPL Optimized

Bas Belfi, Sertalp B. Cay

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Everyone in Fantasy Premier League heard about the data and analytics revolution and realized that the landscape is changing rapidly, but not everyone has time to keep up with the news. We are here to bring you the latest and best about data, analytics, Moneyball approaches to FPL, how it works, advantages, pitfalls, and more. Bas, the eye-test manager, and Sertalp, the analytics manager, compare their notes and talk about FPL from two different angles. https://twitter.com/sertalpbilal https ...
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Vote for FPL Optimized website and podcast in Football Content Awards (Fantasy Sports / Organization): https://footballcontentawards.com/voting After a terrible GW, Bas and Sertalp is back to review their GWs and share their views on future GWs and Wildcard chip timing. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices…
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Bas and Sertalp host Jonas Sand Låbakk, winner of the 2023/2024 FPL season, for a Q/A episode. They cover Jonas' FPL history, play style, how he leveraged analytics, how he approached to risk aspect, and what he is planning for the next season. Our FPL Analytics Discord community has over 1500 members now. Join us: https://discord.gg/HRjcXrTM54 Lea…
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Bas and Sertalp are both on Wildcard 35 and Bench Boost 37 chip plan, so in this episode they cover everything related to WC35: Fixture Ticker GW Odds Optimal WC35 teams from different models Optimal WC35 teams based on risk preference Robust optimal WC35 teams using injury simulations WC35 scenarios Captaincy choices between GW35 and GW38 Learn mo…
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Bas is back and is ready to pull the trigger for Free Hit in GW34. In this episode, they cover: - GW Updates - Projected Point Averages for GW34-38 - Optimal Wildcard 34 team with and without Bench Boost 37 - Transfer Plans for the Optimal Wildcard 34 teams - Optimal Free Hit 34 teams - Captaincy Options Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podc…
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In this special episode, Sertalp hosts 3 analytics oriented managers: James (@ff_trout), Jonny/JC (@FPL_Spaceman), and Sigurd (@FPLPresident). In this panel discussion, they talk about measuring risk and variance in FPL, how it is applied, its side effects, and ways to incorporate it into decision making. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit pod…
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Bas and Sertalp talk about upcoming horizon and optimal chip GWs for people with FH or BB chips. Join our FPL Optimized mini league: https://fantasy.premierleague.com/leagues/auto-join/0jsdla Join our FPL Analytics Community Discord: https://discord.gg/HRjcXrTM54 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices…
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Sertalp hosts two analytics-driven managers (both named Jack!) while Bas gets a rest. The first guest is Vamps, who is a predictive modeler for 17 different fantasy games. The second guest is Jack Bones, who is an overachiever in many of the said games using Vamps' models. They talk about how they approach the game, their analytics journey, how muc…
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Bas and Sertalp talk about how they approach GW29. Sertalp is on Free Hit chip, while Bas is hoping to save it for a rainy day. In this episode: - GW28 Review - Fixture Ticker / Projected Point Averages - Optimal FH29 Teams - Optimal WC29 Team and Transfer Plan - Captaincy Options from Projection Models Join our mini league at https://fantasy.premi…
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Jonny Currie (JC) joins Bas in this episode, while Sertalp needs a rest. JC and Bas covers the usual content, fixture ticker, optimal teams, captaincy and mini-league updates. Join our mini league at https://fantasy.premierleague.com/leagues/auto-join/0jsdla Join our FPL Analytics Community Discord https://discord.gg/HRjcXrTM54 Learn more about you…
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In this episode, Bas and Sertalp have a deep dive on chip strategies and how fixtures can shape optimal chip plans. For the solver, visit https://tinyurl.com/colab-solver Join our mini league at https://fantasy.premierleague.com/leagues/auto-join/0jsdla Join our FPL Analytics Community Discord https://discord.gg/HRjcXrTM54 Learn more about your ad …
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Sertalp hosts FPL Tactician (Andy Martin) in an attempt to convert him to analytical play style. In this Q/A Andy answers questions about his chip strategy, FPL mindset, approach to analytics, and answers questions from Twitter and Discord. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices…
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As FPL managers prepare for doubles and blanks, Bas and Sertalp have a look at the period between GW24 and GW29. In this episode: - Projected point averages - Optimal WC24 team - Optimal transfers for WC team - Sensitivity analysis results - Captaincy selections from projection models Join our mini league at https://fantasy.premierleague.com/league…
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While GW21 is still going on, Bas and Sertalp is back with a Q&A episode. This time, 5 awesome people helped them answer questions from the audience: Neil Rankin, Talha Nadeem, Alastair, Chase, and Trout. In this episode: - Projection data findings - TC25/BB25 discussion - Potential chip plans - Chip usage thresholds - Brentford in GW25-29 - How to…
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Bas and Sertalp talk about the long GW: GW21. In this GW with so many players out (Salah, Son, Bowen, TAA) they cover the usual topics: - Projected point averages at team level - Gameweek Odds - Projection changes at player level - Optimal WC21 team based on FPLReview and Mikkel Tokvam models - TAA Replacements - Mini-league updates Thanks to @robt…
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Bas and Sertalp are back this GW with an Q/A episode. They discuss a wide range of topics: - Optimization parameters - Ensemble model weights - Ideal horizon length - Differential / risk balance - Being patient vs quickly adapting - Impact of longer games on GK/DF points - Over and underperforming GKs - Ideal chip times - Salah & Son replacements -…
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Bas and Sertalp try their best to review their red GWs and share information about GW20. In this episode: - GW18 and GW19 review - Fixture ticker for upcoming horizon - Gameweek odds by RobTFPL - EV Changes - Optimal wildcard 20 teams - Optimal captains Join our mini league at https://fantasy.premierleague.com/leagues/auto-join/0jsdla Join our FPL …
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Bas and Sertalp review their GW17 and talk about GW18 & GW19. In this short episode they cover: - Fixture ticker for upcoming horizon - Optimal wildcard teams for both GWs - Optimal captains Join our mini league at https://fantasy.premierleague.com/leagues/auto-join/0jsdla Join our FPL Analytics Community Discord We have over 1000 members now! http…
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Sertalp and Bas talk about - GW16 Review - Fixture Ticker (Projected Point Averages) - Gameweek Odds - EV Changes - Optimal Wildcard 17 Team - AFCON/Asian Cup Impact - Captaincy Options - Mini-league Updates Thanks to RobT for the data and analysis. Join our mini league at https://fantasy.premierleague.com/leagues/auto-join/0jsdla Join our FPL Anal…
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Sertalp is back, and with Bas they cover the the following topics: - GW14 and GW15 reviews - Fixture Ticker (Projected Point Averages) - Gameweek Odds - EV Changes - Optimal Wildcard 16 Team - Mbeumo Replacements - Captaincy Options - Mini-league Updates Thanks to RobT for the data and analysis. Join our mini league at https://fantasy.premierleague…
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In this solo performance, Bas covers the usual topics: GW13 Review, Fixture Ticker, Gameweek Odds, EV Changes, and Optimal Wildcard team. Bas is on his wildcard and hoping for a jump in ranks! Big thanks to Chase (@FPL_Chase), and RobT (@robtFPL) for their analysis and visualizations. Join our mini league at https://fantasy.premierleague.com/league…
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Bas and Sertalp review their GW12 and talk about GW13 and beyond. Bas is getting ready for using his wildcard in GW14, so he is mainly looking for single GW punts. In this episode they cover: - Projected minute accuracy (preliminary) - Fixture ticker (projected point averages) - Gameweek odds - Top EV gains and losses (who's hot, who's not) - Optim…
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Bas and Sertalp is hosting Luke Williams, one of the hosts of the Inspected Goals podcast, and one of the well-known FPL players of the community. Luke talks about his Sky FF and FPL history, interesting things he has done, and place he has been through his journey. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices…
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After a really weird GW, Bas and Sertalp is back to talk about GW12 and beyond. In this information and data packed episode, they cover: - GW11 Review - Model Accuracy - Model Utility Results - Projected Point Averages (Ticker) - Gameweek Odds - Top EV Gains and Losses - Top Players by Models - Optimal Wildcard Teams - Captaincy Choices Big thanks …
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Bas is scaring Sertalp for going no Haaland as it seems likely for him to get a haul. Even though Halloween is over, the fear of Haaland is not. They cover the usual topics: - Model utility measure - Fixture ticker (Projected point averages) - Top 10 players by models - Optimal WC11 teams by models - GW11 captaincy 😓 Big thanks to Neil Rankin (@Nei…
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Bas and Sertalp cover the usual topics with an emphasis on wildcard: - Model utility measure - Average projected points (team-level) - Fixture ticker - EV changes (player-level) - Optimal wildcard teams (ensemble/Review) - Sensitivity analysis results - Captaincy Big thanks to Chase (@FPL_Chase), Neil Rankin (@NeilRankinZA), and RobT (@robtFPL) for…
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In this short episode Bas and Sertalp cover the regular topics as the international break comes to an end: model utility measure, fixture ticker with projection averages, EV changes at player level, and optimal wildcard team. 🎃 Thanks to FPL_Chase (https://twitter.com/FPL_Chase) and NeilRankinZA (https://twitter.com/NeilRankinZA) for their analysis…
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As we enter the international break, Bas and Sertalp had the pleasure of hosting Mark McGettigan (@FPLGeneral) on the pod this week. They asked questions about how Mark is approaching to analytics, whether he thinks analytics is ruining the fun, or a threat to content creators. As a veteran of the game, Mark shares his wisdom and talks about being …
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